AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Thai League 1 Mar 16, 2021

Chiangrai United

Home
VS
11:30

Sukhothai FC

Away
AI Predictions 54.5% Confidence
Chiangrai United Win
54.5%
Draw
23.1%
Sukhothai FC Win
22.4%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.32 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.2
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Chiangrai United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Sukhothai FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Chiangrai United Form 12.5%
Date Match Result
Mar 13 Chiangrai… vs Muangthon… 2-3
Feb 10 Chiangrai… vs Bangkok G… 1-1
Dec 30 Chiangrai… vs Sukhothai… 1-0
Nov 10 Chiangrai… vs Sukhothai… 2-0
Sukhothai FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 10 Sukhothai… vs Buriram U… 3-0
Feb 21 Sukhothai… vs Nakhon Ra… 0-0
Feb 11 Sukhothai… vs Prachuap 4-3
Feb 06 Sukhothai… vs Port FC 1-0
Dec 30 Sukhothai… vs Chiangrai… 1-0
Dec 26 Sukhothai… vs Ratchaburi 3-1
Nov 22 Sukhothai… vs Buriram U… 0-3
Nov 10 Sukhothai… vs Chiangrai… 2-0
Sep 27 Sukhothai… vs Nakhon Ra… 3-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sukhothai FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 30, 2020 Chiangrai United 1 - 0 Sukhothai FC FA Cup
Nov 10, 2020 Sukhothai FC 2 - 0 Chiangrai United Thai League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Chiangrai United Power 0
Sukhothai FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Chiangrai United Position

+1

Position Gap

12

Sukhothai FC Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.