AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Thai League 1 Apr 27, 2025

Muangthong United

Home
VS
11:00

Nakhon Ratchasima

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Muangthong United Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Nakhon Ratchasima Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.52 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Muangthong United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Nakhon Ratchasima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (15%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Muangthong United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Muangthon… vs Bangkok G… 2-0
Feb 23 Muangthon… vs Buriram U… 1-3
Feb 08 Muangthon… vs Chiangrai… 2-1
Jan 19 Muangthon… vs Ratchaburi 1-0
Jan 16 Muangthon… vs Rayong FC 4-0
Dec 22 Muangthon… vs Buriram U… 1-0
Dec 15 Muangthon… vs Chiangrai… 3-1
Oct 19 Muangthon… vs Bangkok G… 1-1
Aug 28 Muangthon… vs Ratchaburi 2-0
Aug 23 Muangthon… vs Rayong FC 1-1
Nakhon Ratchasima Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 23 Nakhon Ra… vs Bangkok G… 1-3
Apr 19 Nakhon Ra… vs Lamphun W… 1-1
Apr 06 Nakhon Ra… vs Bangkok G… 1-0
Feb 21 Nakhon Ra… vs Sukhothai… 2-2
Feb 09 Nakhon Ra… vs Khon Kaen… 2-1
Feb 08 Nakhon Ra… vs Ratchaburi 1-1
Jan 25 Nakhon Ra… vs Rayong FC 3-3
Jan 19 Nakhon Ra… vs Uthai Tha… 3-2
Jan 14 Nakhon Ra… vs Lamphun W… 3-0
Nov 24 Nakhon Ra… vs Bangkok G… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Muangthong United struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 11, 2024 Nakhon Ratchasima 2 - 1 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Jan 28, 2023 Muangthong United 3 - 0 Nakhon Ratchasima Thai League 1
Aug 28, 2022 Nakhon Ratchasima 1 - 1 Muangthong United Thai League 1
May 01, 2022 Nakhon Ratchasima 2 - 0 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Nov 27, 2021 Muangthong United 4 - 1 Nakhon Ratchasima Thai League 1
Mar 09, 2021 Nakhon Ratchasima 4 - 1 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Nov 22, 2020 Muangthong United 1 - 1 Nakhon Ratchasima Thai League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Muangthong United Power 0
Nakhon Ratchasima Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Muangthong United Position

+1

Position Gap

15

Nakhon Ratchasima Position
Home Win Rate: 16%
Away Win Rate: 12%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.