AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Thai League 1 Aug 11, 2024

Nakhon Ratchasima

Home
VS
12:00

Muangthong United

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Nakhon Ratchasima Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Muangthong United Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 2.77 - 2.10
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 2.1
Score Prediction Analysis
Nakhon Ratchasima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Muangthong United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (5%) 2-3 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Under 2.5 Goals 22%
Nakhon Ratchasima Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 31 Nakhon Ra… vs Khon Kaen… 2-1
Nov 01 Nakhon Ra… vs Sukhothai… 2-3
Oct 21 Nakhon Ra… vs Khon Kaen… 4-2
Apr 08 Nakhon Ra… vs Bangkok G… 5-2
Apr 02 Nakhon Ra… vs Ratchaburi 1-1
Mar 10 Nakhon Ra… vs Sukhothai… 2-3
Feb 19 Nakhon Ra… vs Lamphun W… 0-0
Jan 28 Nakhon Ra… vs Muangthon… 3-0
Nov 05 Nakhon Ra… vs Bangkok G… 0-4
Oct 30 Nakhon Ra… vs Ratchaburi 1-1
Muangthong United Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 16 Muangthon… vs Bangkok G… 1-0
May 26 Muangthon… vs Chiangrai… 2-3
May 22 Muangthon… vs Buriram U… 0-2
May 18 Muangthon… vs Chonburi … 6-0
May 11 Muangthon… vs Ratchaburi 1-2
Apr 27 Muangthon… vs Buriram U… 3-1
Feb 18 Muangthon… vs Bangkok G… 2-0
Dec 23 Muangthon… vs Chonburi … 2-1
Dec 16 Muangthon… vs Ratchaburi 1-1
Dec 03 Muangthon… vs Buriram U… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Muangthong United in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Nakhon Ratchasima struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 28, 2023 Muangthong United 3 - 0 Nakhon Ratchasima Thai League 1
Aug 28, 2022 Nakhon Ratchasima 1 - 1 Muangthong United Thai League 1
May 01, 2022 Nakhon Ratchasima 2 - 0 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Nov 27, 2021 Muangthong United 4 - 1 Nakhon Ratchasima Thai League 1
Mar 09, 2021 Nakhon Ratchasima 4 - 1 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Nov 22, 2020 Muangthong United 1 - 1 Nakhon Ratchasima Thai League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nakhon Ratchasima Power 0
Muangthong United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Nakhon Ratchasima Position

-1

Position Gap

14

Muangthong United Position
Home Win Rate: 12%
Away Win Rate: 16%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.