AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Thai League 1 Jan 28, 2023

Muangthong United

Home
VS
11:30

Nakhon Ratchasima

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Muangthong United Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Nakhon Ratchasima Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.85 - 0.84
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.8
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Muangthong United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Nakhon Ratchasima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Muangthong United Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Muangthonā€¦ vs Buriram Uā€¦ 1-2
Nov 19 Muangthonā€¦ vs Chiangraiā€¦ 3-1
Oct 01 Muangthonā€¦ vs Bangkok Gā€¦ 3-0
Sep 17 Muangthonā€¦ vs Chonburi ā€¦ 1-5
Sep 11 Muangthonā€¦ vs Buriram Uā€¦ 1-1
Aug 28 Muangthonā€¦ vs Nakhon Raā€¦ 1-1
Aug 13 Muangthonā€¦ vs Ratchaburi 1-0
May 01 Muangthonā€¦ vs Nakhon Raā€¦ 2-0
Feb 27 Muangthonā€¦ vs Chiangraiā€¦ 1-1
Jan 29 Muangthonā€¦ vs Buriram Uā€¦ 0-1
Nakhon Ratchasima Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 05 Nakhon Raā€¦ vs Bangkok Gā€¦ 0-4
Oct 30 Nakhon Raā€¦ vs Ratchaburi 1-1
Oct 14 Nakhon Raā€¦ vs Sukhothaiā€¦ 1-1
Sep 17 Nakhon Raā€¦ vs Lamphun Wā€¦ 2-2
Aug 28 Nakhon Raā€¦ vs Muangthonā€¦ 1-1
May 01 Nakhon Raā€¦ vs Muangthonā€¦ 2-0
Apr 16 Nakhon Raā€¦ vs Ratchaburi 1-0
Apr 10 Nakhon Raā€¦ vs Bangkok Gā€¦ 3-0
Feb 16 Nakhon Raā€¦ vs Uthai Thaā€¦ 0-1
Nov 27 Nakhon Raā€¦ vs Muangthonā€¦ 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Muangthong United struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 28, 2022 Nakhon Ratchasima 1 - 1 Muangthong United Thai League 1
May 01, 2022 Nakhon Ratchasima 2 - 0 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Nov 27, 2021 Muangthong United 4 - 1 Nakhon Ratchasima Thai League 1
Mar 09, 2021 Nakhon Ratchasima 4 - 1 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Nov 22, 2020 Muangthong United 1 - 1 Nakhon Ratchasima Thai League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Muangthong United Power 0
Nakhon Ratchasima Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Muangthong United Position

+1

Position Gap

15

Nakhon Ratchasima Position
Home Win Rate: 16%
Away Win Rate: 12%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.