AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Thai League 1 Aug 28, 2022

Nakhon Ratchasima

Home
VS
11:30

Muangthong United

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Nakhon Ratchasima Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Muangthong United Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 1.85 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nakhon Ratchasima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Muangthong United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Nakhon Ratchasima Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 01 Nakhon Raā€¦ vs Muangthonā€¦ 2-0
Apr 16 Nakhon Raā€¦ vs Ratchaburi 1-0
Apr 10 Nakhon Raā€¦ vs Bangkok Gā€¦ 3-0
Feb 16 Nakhon Raā€¦ vs Uthai Thaā€¦ 0-1
Nov 27 Nakhon Raā€¦ vs Muangthonā€¦ 4-1
Nov 14 Nakhon Raā€¦ vs Ratchaburi 3-2
Nov 10 Nakhon Raā€¦ vs Bangkok Gā€¦ 0-0
Mar 14 Nakhon Raā€¦ vs Bangkok Gā€¦ 1-0
Mar 09 Nakhon Raā€¦ vs Muangthonā€¦ 4-1
Feb 21 Nakhon Raā€¦ vs Sukhothaiā€¦ 0-0
Muangthong United Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 13 Muangthonā€¦ vs Ratchaburi 1-0
May 01 Muangthonā€¦ vs Nakhon Raā€¦ 2-0
Feb 27 Muangthonā€¦ vs Chiangraiā€¦ 1-1
Jan 29 Muangthonā€¦ vs Buriram Uā€¦ 0-1
Jan 26 Muangthonā€¦ vs Ratchaburi 0-1
Jan 16 Muangthonā€¦ vs Bangkok Gā€¦ 2-2
Jan 09 Muangthonā€¦ vs Chonburi ā€¦ 1-1
Nov 27 Muangthonā€¦ vs Nakhon Raā€¦ 4-1
Oct 17 Muangthonā€¦ vs Chiangraiā€¦ 0-1
Oct 13 Muangthonā€¦ vs Bangkok Gā€¦ 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Nakhon Ratchasima in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Muangthong United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 01, 2022 Nakhon Ratchasima 2 - 0 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Nov 27, 2021 Muangthong United 4 - 1 Nakhon Ratchasima Thai League 1
Mar 09, 2021 Nakhon Ratchasima 4 - 1 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Nov 22, 2020 Muangthong United 1 - 1 Nakhon Ratchasima Thai League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nakhon Ratchasima Power 0
Muangthong United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Nakhon Ratchasima Position

-1

Position Gap

14

Muangthong United Position
Home Win Rate: 12%
Away Win Rate: 16%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.