AI Match Insights
Thai League 1 May 01, 2022
Nakhon Ratchasima
HomeVS
11:00
Muangthong United
AwayAI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Nakhon Ratchasima Win
Draw
Muangthong United Win
Home Win
(45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
Combined: 47%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.19 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nakhon Ratchasima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Muangthong United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%)
0-0 (25%)
2-0 (18%)
3-0 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
16%
Under 2.5 Goals
84%
Nakhon Ratchasima Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16 | Nakhon Raā¦ vs Ratchaburi | 1-0 |
| Apr 10 | Nakhon Raā¦ vs Bangkok Gā¦ | 3-0 |
| Feb 16 | Nakhon Raā¦ vs Uthai Thaā¦ | 0-1 |
| Nov 27 | Nakhon Raā¦ vs Muangthonā¦ | 4-1 |
| Nov 14 | Nakhon Raā¦ vs Ratchaburi | 3-2 |
| Nov 10 | Nakhon Raā¦ vs Bangkok Gā¦ | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Nakhon Raā¦ vs Bangkok Gā¦ | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | Nakhon Raā¦ vs Muangthonā¦ | 4-1 |
| Feb 21 | Nakhon Raā¦ vs Sukhothaiā¦ | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Nakhon Raā¦ vs Ratchaburi | 1-0 |
Muangthong United Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27 | Muangthonā¦ vs Chiangraiā¦ | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Muangthonā¦ vs Buriram Uā¦ | 0-1 |
| Jan 26 | Muangthonā¦ vs Ratchaburi | 0-1 |
| Jan 16 | Muangthonā¦ vs Bangkok Gā¦ | 2-2 |
| Jan 09 | Muangthonā¦ vs Chonburi ā¦ | 1-1 |
| Nov 27 | Muangthonā¦ vs Nakhon Raā¦ | 4-1 |
| Oct 17 | Muangthonā¦ vs Chiangraiā¦ | 0-1 |
| Oct 13 | Muangthonā¦ vs Bangkok Gā¦ | 2-1 |
| Sep 24 | Muangthonā¦ vs Ratchaburi | 2-1 |
| Sep 12 | Muangthonā¦ vs Chonburi ā¦ | 3-3 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Nakhon Ratchasima struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2021 | Muangthong United | 4 - 1 | Nakhon Ratchasima | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 09, 2021 | Nakhon Ratchasima | 4 - 1 | Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Muangthong United | 1 - 1 | Nakhon Ratchasima | Thai League 1 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Nakhon Ratchasima Power
0
Muangthong United Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
15
Nakhon Ratchasima Position-1
Position Gap14
Muangthong United Position
Home Win Rate: 12%
Away Win Rate: 16%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.