AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 1 Oct 17, 2024

Dewa United

Home
VS
08:30

Persik Kediri

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Dewa United Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Persik Kediri Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 3.07 - 0.76
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.8
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dewa United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Persik Kediri Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Dewa United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Dewa Unit… vs Persebaya… 0-0
Aug 26 Dewa Unit… vs PSM Makas… 3-1
Aug 19 Dewa Unit… vs Persib Ba… 2-2
Aug 12 Dewa Unit… vs Arema FC 0-0
Apr 30 Dewa Unit… vs Pusamania… 2-1
Apr 16 Dewa Unit… vs Persebaya… 0-3
Mar 27 Dewa Unit… vs Persita 4-1
Mar 16 Dewa Unit… vs Bhayangka… 2-3
Dec 17 Dewa Unit… vs Persis So… 1-2
Dec 08 Dewa Unit… vs Bali Unit… 1-1
Persik Kediri Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 23 Persik Ke… vs Persis So… 0-1
Sep 18 Persik Ke… vs Persita 1-0
Aug 25 Persik Ke… vs Malut Uni… 0-0
Aug 11 Persik Ke… vs Bali Unit… 1-3
Apr 28 Persik Ke… vs Persebaya… 2-1
Apr 20 Persik Ke… vs Persita 1-1
Mar 16 Persik Ke… vs Persija J… 2-0
Feb 24 Persik Ke… vs Persis So… 2-1
Feb 05 Persik Ke… vs Bali Unit… 1-0
Dec 10 Persik Ke… vs Persib Ba… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 02, 2023 Persik Kediri 0 - 0 Dewa United Liga 1
Jul 21, 2023 Dewa United 3 - 0 Persik Kediri Liga 1
Mar 30, 2023 Dewa United 1 - 3 Persik Kediri Liga 1
Dec 17, 2022 Persik Kediri 1 - 0 Dewa United Liga 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dewa United Power 0
Persik Kediri Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Dewa United Position

+2

Position Gap

12

Persik Kediri Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.