AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 1 Feb 25, 2023

Pusamania Borneo

Home
VS
10:00

Bhayangkara FC

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Pusamania Borneo Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Bhayangkara FC Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.99 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 0.3 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Pusamania Borneo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Bhayangkara FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (5%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Pusamania Borneo Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 20 Pusamania… vs Persita 1-1
Feb 12 Pusamania… vs Persis So… 1-1
Feb 03 Pusamania… vs Persebaya… 3-2
Jan 26 Pusamania… vs Persib Ba… 1-0
Dec 23 Pusamania… vs PSM Makas… 1-1
Oct 01 Pusamania… vs Persepam … 3-0
Sep 13 Pusamania… vs Bhayangka… 2-2
Sep 09 Pusamania… vs Persita 2-2
Aug 28 Pusamania… vs Persis So… 2-1
Aug 19 Pusamania… vs Persebaya… 2-1
Bhayangkara FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 16 Bhayangka… vs Persija J… 2-1
Feb 11 Bhayangka… vs Persita 1-0
Jan 28 Bhayangka… vs Dewa Unit… 1-1
Jan 23 Bhayangka… vs Persebaya… 2-1
Sep 13 Bhayangka… vs Pusamania… 2-2
Sep 03 Bhayangka… vs Persija J… 2-1
Aug 28 Bhayangka… vs Persita 2-3
Aug 14 Bhayangka… vs Dewa Unit… 2-0
Aug 07 Bhayangka… vs Persebaya… 1-0
Jul 24 Bhayangka… vs Persib Ba… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 13, 2022 Bhayangkara FC 2 - 2 Pusamania Borneo Liga 1
Feb 16, 2022 Pusamania Borneo 1 - 1 Bhayangkara FC Liga 1
Oct 27, 2021 Bhayangkara FC 2 - 1 Pusamania Borneo Liga 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Pusamania Borneo to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Pusamania Borneo Power 0
Bhayangkara FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Pusamania Borneo Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Bhayangkara FC Position
Home Win Rate: 90%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.