AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Nov 30, 2024

Melbourne City

Home
VS
06:00

Western Sydney Wanderers

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Melbourne City Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Western Sydney Wanderers Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 4.50 - 1.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.3 Position gap: 6 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Melbourne City Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 0-5
Oct 26 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 1-3
Oct 19 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 0-1
Aug 03 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 5-4
May 05 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 1-1
Apr 28 Melbourne… vs Western U… 1-0
Apr 20 Melbourne… vs Western S… 1-2
Apr 14 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 8-0
Apr 06 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 2-1
Apr 02 Melbourne… vs Central C… 2-1
Western Sydney Wanderers Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Western S… vs Sydney 4-2
Nov 08 Western S… vs Newcastle… 4-1
Nov 02 Western S… vs Adelaide … 3-4
Oct 19 Western S… vs Sydney 1-2
Sep 12 Western S… vs Adelaide … 2-1
Aug 17 Western S… vs Auckland 4-2
Apr 27 Western S… vs Melbourne… 3-4
Apr 20 Western S… vs Melbourne… 1-2
Apr 13 Western S… vs Sydney 2-1
Apr 05 Western S… vs Brisbane … 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Western Sydney Wanderers struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 20, 2024 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 2 Melbourne City A-League
Mar 12, 2024 Melbourne City 7 - 0 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Jan 12, 2024 Melbourne City 0 - 1 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Apr 28, 2023 Melbourne City 3 - 2 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Jan 15, 2023 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 1 Melbourne City A-League
Feb 11, 2022 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 3 Melbourne City A-League
Jan 09, 2022 Melbourne City 3 - 3 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Melbourne City to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne City Power 0
Western Sydney Wanderers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Melbourne City Position

+6

Position Gap

12

Western Sydney Wanderers Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.