AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Jan 12, 2024

Melbourne City

Home
VS
09:15

Western Sydney Wanderers

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Melbourne City Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Western Sydney Wanderers Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 4.50 - 1.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.7 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (5%) 3-2 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-0 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 3-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Melbourne City Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 28 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 8-1
Dec 23 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 0-0
Dec 17 Melbourne… vs Central C… 3-3
Dec 08 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 1-2
Dec 03 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 0-2
Nov 25 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 1-0
Nov 12 Melbourne… vs Macarthur… 3-3
Nov 03 Melbourne… vs Sydney 2-0
Oct 29 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 6-0
Sep 24 Melbourne… vs Sydney 1-2
Western Sydney Wanderers Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 06 Western S… vs Central C… 0-1
Jan 01 Western S… vs Macarthur… 3-1
Dec 15 Western S… vs Adelaide … 1-0
Dec 10 Western S… vs Melbourne… 3-4
Dec 01 Western S… vs Brisbane … 2-2
Nov 25 Western S… vs Sydney 0-1
Nov 11 Western S… vs Perth Glo… 2-0
Nov 05 Western S… vs Newcastle… 2-2
Sep 16 Western S… vs Brisbane … 4-2
Aug 29 Western S… vs Adelaide … 5-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Melbourne City in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 28, 2023 Melbourne City 3 - 2 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Jan 15, 2023 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 1 Melbourne City A-League
Feb 11, 2022 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 3 Melbourne City A-League
Jan 09, 2022 Melbourne City 3 - 3 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Melbourne City to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne City Power 0
Western Sydney Wanderers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Melbourne City Position

+6

Position Gap

12

Western Sydney Wanderers Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.