AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Jan 09, 2022

Melbourne City

Home
VS
07:45

Western Sydney Wanderers

Away
AI Predictions 56.5% Confidence
Melbourne City Win
56.5%
Draw
22.7%
Western Sydney Wanderers Win
20.8%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 4.50 - 1.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.3 Position gap: 6 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Melbourne City Form 12.5%
Date Match Result
Jun 20 Melbourne… vs Macarthur… 2-0
Jun 10 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 1-2
Apr 29 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 3-1
Apr 24 Melbourne… vs Macarthur… 1-1
Western Sydney Wanderers Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 18 Western S… vs Central C… 2-0
Nov 28 Western S… vs Newcastle… 2-2
Apr 23 Western S… vs Melbourne… 5-4
Apr 06 Western S… vs Central C… 2-2
Jan 29 Western S… vs Newcastle… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Melbourne City to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne City Power 0
Western Sydney Wanderers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Melbourne City Position

+6

Position Gap

12

Western Sydney Wanderers Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.