AI Match Insights

Liga Premier Serie A Sep 23, 2023

UA Zacatecas

Home
VS
23:00

Colima

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
UA Zacatecas Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Colima Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 3.27 - 0.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
UA Zacatecas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Colima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
UA Zacatecas Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 18 UA Zacate… vs Leones Ne… 1-3
Feb 18 UA Zacate… vs Mineros d… 1-1
Oct 22 UA Zacate… vs Leones Ne… 2-0
Sep 28 UA Zacate… vs Mineros d… 3-3
Mar 29 UA Zacate… vs Leones Ne… 2-3
Mar 19 UA Zacate… vs Mineros d… 1-1
Feb 27 UA Zacate… vs Colima 1-1
Oct 30 UA Zacate… vs Leones Ne… 1-0
Oct 23 UA Zacate… vs Colima 3-0
Jan 30 UA Zacate… vs Colima 0-4
Colima Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 16 Colima vs Tecos 2-0
Mar 26 Colima vs Tritons V… 0-2
Mar 24 Colima vs Tecos 0-1
Feb 27 Colima vs UA Zacate… 1-1
Feb 05 Colima vs Leones Ne… 1-2
Nov 13 Colima vs Tritons V… 3-0
Oct 23 Colima vs UA Zacate… 3-0
Oct 10 Colima vs Leones Ne… 2-1
Sep 25 Colima vs Tecos 1-1
Apr 12 Colima vs Leones Ne… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Colima struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 27, 2022 Colima 1 - 1 UA Zacatecas Liga Premier S…
Oct 23, 2021 UA Zacatecas 3 - 0 Colima Liga Premier S…
Jan 30, 2021 UA Zacatecas 0 - 4 Colima Liga Premier S…
Oct 04, 2020 Colima 2 - 0 UA Zacatecas Liga Premier S…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
UA Zacatecas Power 0
Colima Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

UA Zacatecas Position

+3

Position Gap

14

Colima Position

Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.