AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Mineiro - 1 Feb 14, 2024

Pouso Alegre

Home
VS
22:30

Democrata GV

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Pouso Alegre Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Democrata GV Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 1.98 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.5
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Pouso Alegre Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Democrata GV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Pouso Alegre Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 Pouso Ale… vs Itabirito 2-0
Feb 20 Pouso Ale… vs Democrata… 1-0
Feb 08 Pouso Ale… vs Cruzeiro 0-1
Mar 13 Pouso Ale… vs Cruzeiro 5-1
Feb 26 Pouso Ale… vs Atletico-… 2-3
Feb 16 Pouso Ale… vs Uniao Tra… 1-1
Feb 05 Pouso Ale… vs Democrata… 1-0
Feb 02 Pouso Ale… vs Athletic … 1-4
Democrata GV Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 07 Democrata… vs Tombense 2-2
Jan 24 Democrata… vs Itabirito 1-3
Feb 20 Democrata… vs Pouso Ale… 1-0
Feb 11 Democrata… vs América M… 2-1
Feb 03 Democrata… vs Athletic … 1-1
Apr 03 Democrata… vs Tombense 1-0
Feb 19 Democrata… vs Athletic … 1-0
Feb 16 Democrata… vs Tombense 1-0
Feb 09 Democrata… vs Cruzeiro 1-0
Feb 05 Democrata… vs Pouso Ale… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Pouso Alegre struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 20, 2023 Democrata GV 1 - 0 Pouso Alegre Mineiro - 1
Feb 05, 2022 Democrata GV 1 - 0 Pouso Alegre Mineiro - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Pouso Alegre to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Pouso Alegre Power 0
Democrata GV Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Pouso Alegre Position

0

Position Gap

3

Democrata GV Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.