AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Mineiro - 1 Feb 20, 2023

Democrata GV

Home
VS
23:30

Pouso Alegre

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Democrata GV Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Pouso Alegre Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.98 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Democrata GV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Pouso Alegre Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Democrata GV Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 11 Democrata… vs América M… 2-1
Feb 03 Democrata… vs Athletic … 1-1
Apr 03 Democrata… vs Tombense 1-0
Feb 19 Democrata… vs Athletic … 1-0
Feb 16 Democrata… vs Tombense 1-0
Feb 09 Democrata… vs Cruzeiro 1-0
Feb 05 Democrata… vs Pouso Ale… 1-0
Jan 30 Democrata… vs América M… 2-0
Pouso Alegre Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 Pouso Ale… vs Cruzeiro 0-1
Mar 13 Pouso Ale… vs Cruzeiro 5-1
Feb 26 Pouso Ale… vs Atletico-… 2-3
Feb 16 Pouso Ale… vs Uniao Tra… 1-1
Feb 05 Pouso Ale… vs Democrata… 1-0
Feb 02 Pouso Ale… vs Athletic … 1-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Pouso Alegre struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 05, 2022 Democrata GV 1 - 0 Pouso Alegre Mineiro - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Democrata GV to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Democrata GV Power 0
Pouso Alegre Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Democrata GV Position

0

Position Gap

3

Pouso Alegre Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.