AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Goiano - 1 Jan 19, 2025

Aparecidense

Home
VS
19:00

ABECAT Ouvidorense

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Aparecidense Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
ABECAT Ouvidorense Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 1.44 - 0.81
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.8
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aparecidense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
ABECAT Ouvidorense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Aparecidense Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 15 Aparecide… vs Vila Nova 1-0
Aug 24 Aparecide… vs ABC 3-1
Aug 18 Aparecide… vs CSA 0-1
Mar 27 Aparecide… vs Vila Nova 3-0
Mar 16 Aparecide… vs Vila Nova 2-0
Feb 18 Aparecide… vs Goiatuba 1-1
Jan 31 Aparecide… vs Vila Nova 3-1
Jan 24 Aparecide… vs Athletico… 2-1
Jan 21 Aparecide… vs CRAC 0-0
Mar 19 Aparecide… vs Athletico… 2-0
ABECAT Ouvidorense Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 22 ABECAT Ou… vs Inhumas 1-2
Jun 01 ABECAT Ou… vs Inhumas 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aparecidense struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aparecidense Power 0
ABECAT Ouvidorense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Aparecidense Position

-5

Position Gap

5

ABECAT Ouvidorense Position
Home Win Rate: 14%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.