AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sergipano Jan 14, 2023

Sergipe

Home
VS
19:00

Dorense

Away
AI Predictions 53.5% Confidence
Sergipe Win
53.5%
Draw
23.3%
Dorense Win
23.2%
Home Win (54% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.74 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.7 vs 0.2 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sergipe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Dorense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (39%) 1-0 (29%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 9%
Over 2.5 Goals 7%
Under 2.5 Goals 93%
Sergipe Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 09 Sergipe vs Falcon 1-1
Apr 06 Sergipe vs Falcon 1-2
Apr 02 Sergipe vs AO Itabai… 1-0
Mar 31 Sergipe vs AO Itabai… 2-0
Mar 12 Sergipe vs Confiança 1-1
Mar 09 Sergipe vs Falcon 1-0
Feb 03 Sergipe vs Confiança 1-1
Jan 15 Sergipe vs Falcon 2-1
May 08 Sergipe vs Confiança 0-1
May 05 Sergipe vs Confiança 0-0
Dorense Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
Apr 18 Dorense vs Sergipe 1-1
Mar 28 Dorense vs AO Itabai… 0-0
Mar 06 Dorense vs Sergipe 0-3
Feb 24 Dorense vs AO Itabai… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 18, 2021 Sergipe 1 - 1 Dorense Sergipano
Mar 06, 2021 Dorense 0 - 3 Sergipe Sergipano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sergipe to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sergipe Power 0
Dorense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Sergipe Position

+6

Position Gap

7

Dorense Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.