AI Match Insights

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Sergipano Apr 18, 2021

Sergipe

Home
VS
19:00

Dorense

Away
AI Predictions 68.3% Confidence
Sergipe Win
68.3%
Draw
20.3%
Dorense Win
11.3%
Home Win (68% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 12%
xG: 3.71 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.2 Position gap: 6 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Sergipe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Dorense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Sergipe Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 06 Sergipe vs Dorense 0-3
Aug 02 Sergipe vs AO Itabaiā€¦ 1-4
Jul 30 Sergipe vs AO Itabaiā€¦ 2-1
Dorense Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
Mar 28 Dorense vs AO Itabaiā€¦ 0-0
Mar 06 Dorense vs Sergipe 0-3
Feb 24 Dorense vs AO Itabaiā€¦ 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sergipe in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 06, 2021 Dorense 0 - 3 Sergipe Sergipano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sergipe to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sergipe Power 0
Dorense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Sergipe Position

+6

Position Gap

7

Dorense Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.