AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A2 Feb 19, 2025

XV de Piracicaba

Home
VS
23:00

Ferroviária

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
XV de Piracicaba Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Ferroviária Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.15 - 0.82
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.8
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
XV de Piracicaba Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Ferroviária Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
XV de Piracicaba Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 XV de Pir… vs São Berna… 0-0
Feb 02 XV de Pir… vs Santo And… 1-0
Jan 25 XV de Pir… vs Grêmio Pr… 1-0
Jan 15 XV de Pir… vs Oeste 1-2
Aug 30 XV de Pir… vs Oeste 2-1
Aug 24 XV de Pir… vs Oeste 0-1
Mar 10 XV de Pir… vs Monte Azul 4-2
Feb 01 XV de Pir… vs Ferroviár… 0-0
Jan 27 XV de Pir… vs São Berna… 0-2
Jan 24 XV de Pir… vs Oeste 0-1
Ferroviária Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 15 Ferroviár… vs Pague Men… 2-1
Feb 09 Ferroviár… vs Santo And… 2-2
Feb 01 Ferroviár… vs Juventude 4-3
Jan 29 Ferroviár… vs Taubaté 3-2
Jan 29 Ferroviár… vs Floresta 3-3
Jan 26 Ferroviár… vs Ceará 1-2
Jan 22 Ferroviár… vs Ituano 3-1
Jan 19 Ferroviár… vs Horizonte 1-2
Dec 07 Ferroviár… vs Floresta 0-2
Dec 04 Ferroviár… vs Floresta 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • XV de Piracicaba in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 01, 2024 Ferroviária 0 - 0 XV de Piracicaba Paulista - A2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
XV de Piracicaba Power 0
Ferroviária Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

XV de Piracicaba Position

-7

Position Gap

1

Ferroviária Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.