AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A2 Feb 01, 2024

Ferroviária

Home
VS
00:30

XV de Piracicaba

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Ferroviária Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
XV de Piracicaba Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 38%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.39 - 1.23
Key Insights
Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ferroviária Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
XV de Piracicaba Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (24%) 0-0 (20%) 0-2 (15%) 1-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 0-3 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Ferroviária Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Ferroviár… vs Uniclinic… 1-2
Jan 24 Ferroviár… vs São Berna… 1-1
Jan 21 Ferroviár… vs Juventude 2-1
Jan 20 Ferroviár… vs Floresta 1-3
Mar 25 Ferroviár… vs Fortaleza 4-0
Mar 19 Ferroviár… vs Fortaleza 4-0
Mar 12 Ferroviár… vs Fortaleza 1-1
Mar 05 Ferroviár… vs Inter De … 0-0
Feb 04 Ferroviár… vs São Berna… 0-1
Jan 31 Ferroviár… vs Ceará 1-1
XV de Piracicaba Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 XV de Pir… vs São Berna… 0-2
Jan 24 XV de Pir… vs Oeste 0-1
Aug 22 XV de Pir… vs Oeste 0-0
Jul 14 XV de Pir… vs Oeste 0-1
Feb 25 XV de Pir… vs Monte Azul 1-0
Feb 08 XV de Pir… vs Oeste 1-1
Sep 16 XV de Pir… vs Água Santa 2-1
Sep 10 XV de Pir… vs Água Santa 1-1
Aug 12 XV de Pir… vs São Berna… 2-1
Jul 09 XV de Pir… vs São Berna… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • XV de Piracicaba in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ferroviária to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ferroviária Power 0
XV de Piracicaba Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Ferroviária Position

+7

Position Gap

8

XV de Piracicaba Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.