AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A1 Feb 19, 2023

Ituano

Home
VS
23:40

Santo André

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Ituano Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Santo André Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.28 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.4
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ituano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Santo André Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 0-0 (18%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
Ituano Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 05 Ituano vs Santo And… 0-0
Feb 26 Ituano vs Ferroviár… 3-1
Feb 19 Ituano vs São Berna… 1-0
Dec 05 Ituano vs São Berna… 0-3
Oct 02 Ituano vs São Berna… 0-0
Santo André Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 Santo And… vs Inter De … 0-1
Feb 09 Santo And… vs Água Santa 0-2
Jan 22 Santo And… vs Ferroviár… 1-2
Mar 19 Santo And… vs Inter De … 2-0
Mar 12 Santo And… vs Água Santa 1-1
Mar 05 Santo And… vs Ituano 0-0
Feb 12 Santo And… vs Ferroviár… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santo André in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 05, 2022 Santo André 0 - 0 Ituano Paulista - A1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ituano to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ituano Power 0
Santo André Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.