AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Alagoano Jan 29, 2025

CSE

Home
VS
23:00

Murici FC

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
CSE Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Murici FC Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.51 - 1.15
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.1
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CSE Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Murici FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
CSE Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 CSE vs CRB 0-1
Jan 19 CSE vs CRB 1-5
Jan 16 CSE vs Penedense 1-2
Jan 12 CSE vs CSA 3-0
Apr 11 CSE vs CSA 1-2
Apr 07 CSE vs CSA 0-2
Mar 17 CSE vs ASA 2-0
Mar 13 CSE vs ASA 3-0
Mar 10 CSE vs ASA 1-1
Mar 02 CSE vs CSA 3-2
Murici FC Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 Murici FC vs ASA 0-3
Jan 18 Murici FC vs CSA 2-0
Jan 15 Murici FC vs Coruripe 2-2
Jan 11 Murici FC vs Penedense 1-0
Mar 26 Murici FC vs CSA 0-3
Mar 23 Murici FC vs CSA 3-3
Mar 19 Murici FC vs CRB II 3-0
Mar 16 Murici FC vs CRB 3-0
Mar 09 Murici FC vs CRB 1-2
Mar 06 Murici FC vs Penedense 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • CSE struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Murici FC struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 31, 2024 CSE 0 - 2 Murici FC Copa Alagoas
Jan 20, 2024 Murici FC 2 - 1 CSE Alagoano
Feb 01, 2023 CSE 1 - 1 Murici FC Alagoano
Feb 12, 2022 Murici FC 1 - 0 CSE Alagoano
Apr 29, 2021 CSE 2 - 0 Murici FC Alagoano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CSE Power 0
Murici FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

CSE Position

+3

Position Gap

7

Murici FC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.