AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Alagoas Jan 31, 2024

CSE

Home
VS
22:00

Murici FC

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
CSE Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Murici FC Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.69 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.3
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CSE Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Murici FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (14%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
CSE Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 CSE vs Penedense 1-1
Jan 25 CSE vs ASA 2-0
Jan 20 CSE vs Murici FC 2-1
Feb 09 CSE vs CRB 3-0
Feb 01 CSE vs Murici FC 1-1
Jan 29 CSE vs Cruzeiro … 0-1
Jan 25 CSE vs ASA 1-1
Jan 22 CSE vs Coruripe 0-0
Jan 14 CSE vs CSA 1-0
Mar 12 CSE vs CRB 0-1
Murici FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Murici FC vs CRB 1-0
Jan 20 Murici FC vs CSE 2-1
Mar 18 Murici FC vs ASA 1-0
Mar 12 Murici FC vs ASA 1-1
Feb 26 Murici FC vs CRB 1-2
Feb 19 Murici FC vs Coruripe 2-1
Feb 01 Murici FC vs CSE 1-1
Jan 28 Murici FC vs ASA 3-2
Jan 23 Murici FC vs CSA 4-0
Jan 18 Murici FC vs Cruzeiro … 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Murici FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 20, 2024 Murici FC 2 - 1 CSE Alagoano
Feb 01, 2023 CSE 1 - 1 Murici FC Alagoano
Feb 12, 2022 Murici FC 1 - 0 CSE Alagoano
Apr 29, 2021 CSE 2 - 0 Murici FC Alagoano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: CSE to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CSE Power 0
Murici FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.