AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Alagoano Jan 20, 2024

Murici FC

Home
VS
19:00

CSE

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Murici FC Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
CSE Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.63 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.3
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Murici FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
CSE Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (15%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Murici FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 18 Murici FC vs ASA 1-0
Mar 12 Murici FC vs ASA 1-1
Feb 26 Murici FC vs CRB 1-2
Feb 19 Murici FC vs Coruripe 2-1
Feb 01 Murici FC vs CSE 1-1
Jan 28 Murici FC vs ASA 3-2
Jan 23 Murici FC vs CSA 4-0
Jan 18 Murici FC vs Cruzeiro … 1-2
Apr 12 Murici FC vs CSA 8-0
Apr 09 Murici FC vs CSA 0-2
CSE Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 09 CSE vs CRB 3-0
Feb 01 CSE vs Murici FC 1-1
Jan 29 CSE vs Cruzeiro … 0-1
Jan 25 CSE vs ASA 1-1
Jan 22 CSE vs Coruripe 0-0
Jan 14 CSE vs CSA 1-0
Mar 12 CSE vs CRB 0-1
Mar 09 CSE vs CSA 0-0
Mar 05 CSE vs ASA 4-1
Feb 12 CSE vs Murici FC 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 01, 2023 CSE 1 - 1 Murici FC Alagoano
Feb 12, 2022 Murici FC 1 - 0 CSE Alagoano
Apr 29, 2021 CSE 2 - 0 Murici FC Alagoano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Murici FC Power 0
CSE Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Murici FC Position

-3

Position Gap

4

CSE Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.