AI Match Insights

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Serie A Jun 04, 2022

Athletico Paranaense

Home
VS
22:00

Santos

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Athletico Paranaense Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Santos Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.14 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.4 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Athletico Paranaense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Santos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (15%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Athletico Paranaense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 27 Athletico… vs Corinthia… 1-1
Mar 22 Athletico… vs Vila Nova 1-1
Mar 06 Athletico… vs CRAC 0-0
Feb 27 Athletico… vs Operário-… 1-2
Feb 19 Athletico… vs Cianorte 5-1
Feb 13 Athletico… vs Azuriz 0-2
Feb 12 Athletico… vs Aparecide… 1-2
Feb 09 Athletico… vs Aparecide… 2-0
Jan 26 Athletico… vs CRAC 1-0
Oct 30 Athletico… vs Santos 0-1
Santos Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 29 Santos vs Palmeiras 0-1
May 02 Santos vs São Paulo… 2-1
Apr 13 Santos vs Parnahyba 2-0
Apr 09 Santos vs Fluminense 0-0
Apr 06 Santos vs Parnahyba 3-0
Mar 25 Santos vs Parnahyba 1-1
Feb 27 Santos vs Novorizon… 2-2
Feb 20 Santos vs São Paulo… 0-3
Feb 17 Santos vs Mirassol 3-2
Feb 06 Santos vs Guaraní C… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santos struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 30, 2021 Athletico Paranaense 0 - 1 Santos Serie A
Sep 15, 2021 Santos 0 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Copa do Brasil
Aug 25, 2021 Athletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Santos Copa do Brasil
Jul 06, 2021 Santos 2 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
Nov 21, 2020 Athletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Santos Serie A
Aug 16, 2020 Santos 3 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Athletico Paranaense to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Athletico Paranaense Power 0
Santos Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Athletico Paranaense Position

+7

Position Gap

17

Santos Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.