AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Oct 30, 2021

Athletico Paranaense

Home
VS
20:00

Santos

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Athletico Paranaense Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Santos Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.31 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.2 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Athletico Paranaense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Santos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
Athletico Paranaense Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 15 Athletico… vs Santos 0-1
Aug 25 Athletico… vs Santos 1-0
Jul 06 Athletico… vs Santos 2-1
Nov 21 Athletico… vs Santos 1-0
Aug 16 Athletico… vs Santos 3-1
Santos Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 27 Santos vs Fluminense 2-0
Oct 17 Santos vs Sport Rec… 0-0
Sep 26 Santos vs Juventude 3-0
Sep 15 Santos vs Athletico… 0-1
Aug 25 Santos vs Athletico… 1-0
Aug 22 Santos vs Internaci… 2-2
Jul 06 Santos vs Athletico… 2-1
Jun 30 Santos vs Sport Rec… 0-0
Jun 17 Santos vs Fluminense 1-0
Jun 12 Santos vs Juventude 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Athletico Paranaense in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Santos struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 15, 2021 Santos 0 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Copa do Brasil
Aug 25, 2021 Athletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Santos Copa do Brasil
Jul 06, 2021 Santos 2 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
Nov 21, 2020 Athletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Santos Serie A
Aug 16, 2020 Santos 3 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Athletico Paranaense to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Athletico Paranaense Power 0
Santos Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Athletico Paranaense Position

+7

Position Gap

17

Santos Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.