AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa do Brasil Sep 15, 2021

Santos

Home
VS
00:30

Athletico Paranaense

Away
AI Predictions 40.0% Confidence
Santos Win
40.0%
Draw
26.0%
Athletico Paranaense Win
34.0%
Home Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 4.50 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Santos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Athletico Paranaense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (2%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Santos Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 25 Santos vs Athletico… 1-0
Aug 22 Santos vs Internaci… 2-2
Jul 06 Santos vs Athletico… 2-1
Jun 30 Santos vs Sport Rec… 0-0
Jun 17 Santos vs Fluminense 1-0
Jun 12 Santos vs Juventude 0-0
May 09 Santos vs Parnahyba 3-1
Feb 21 Santos vs Fluminense 1-1
Nov 28 Santos vs Sport Rec… 4-2
Nov 21 Santos vs Athletico… 1-0
Athletico Paranaense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 25 Athletico… vs Santos 1-0
Jul 06 Athletico… vs Santos 2-1
Nov 21 Athletico… vs Santos 1-0
Aug 16 Athletico… vs Santos 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 25, 2021 Athletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Santos Copa do Brasil
Jul 06, 2021 Santos 2 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
Nov 21, 2020 Athletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Santos Serie A
Aug 16, 2020 Santos 3 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Santos to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Santos Power 0
Athletico Paranaense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.