AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa do Brasil Aug 25, 2021

Athletico Paranaense

Home
VS
22:00

Santos

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Athletico Paranaense Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Santos Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.10 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Athletico Paranaense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Santos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (27%) 2-0 (16%) 3-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Under 2.5 Goals 86%
Athletico Paranaense Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
Jul 06 Athletico… vs Santos 2-1
Nov 21 Athletico… vs Santos 1-0
Aug 16 Athletico… vs Santos 3-1
Santos Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 22 Santos vs Internaci… 2-2
Jul 06 Santos vs Athletico… 2-1
Jun 30 Santos vs Sport Rec… 0-0
Jun 17 Santos vs Fluminense 1-0
Jun 12 Santos vs Juventude 0-0
May 09 Santos vs Parnahyba 3-1
Feb 21 Santos vs Fluminense 1-1
Nov 28 Santos vs Sport Rec… 4-2
Nov 21 Santos vs Athletico… 1-0
Nov 14 Santos vs Internaci… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 06, 2021 Santos 2 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
Nov 21, 2020 Athletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Santos Serie A
Aug 16, 2020 Santos 3 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Athletico Paranaense to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Athletico Paranaense Power 0
Santos Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.