AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Jul 06, 2021

Santos

Home
VS
22:30

Athletico Paranaense

Away
AI Predictions 42.0% Confidence
Santos Win
42.0%
Draw
25.6%
Athletico Paranaense Win
32.4%
Home Win (42% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.92 - 1.02
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.0
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Santos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Athletico Paranaense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Santos Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 30 Santos vs Sport Rec… 0-0
Jun 17 Santos vs Fluminense 1-0
Jun 12 Santos vs Juventude 0-0
May 09 Santos vs Parnahyba 3-1
Feb 21 Santos vs Fluminense 1-1
Nov 28 Santos vs Sport Rec… 4-2
Nov 21 Santos vs Athletico… 1-0
Nov 14 Santos vs Internaci… 2-0
Oct 25 Santos vs Fluminense 3-1
Aug 20 Santos vs Sport Rec… 0-1
Athletico Paranaense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 21 Athletico… vs Santos 1-0
Aug 16 Athletico… vs Santos 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 21, 2020 Athletico Paranaense 1 - 0 Santos Serie A
Aug 16, 2020 Santos 3 - 1 Athletico Paranaense Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Santos Power 0
Athletico Paranaense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Santos Position

-7

Position Gap

10

Athletico Paranaense Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.