AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Brasiliense Feb 12, 2023

Samambaia FC

Home
VS
13:00

BrasĂ­lia

Away
AI Predictions 42.5% Confidence
Samambaia FC Win
42.5%
Draw
25.5%
BrasĂ­lia Win
32.0%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 4.31 - 1.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 1.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Samambaia FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
BrasĂ­lia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Samambaia FC Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Samambaia… vs Capital B… 1-2
Apr 10 Samambaia… vs Uberlândia 8-1
Mar 30 Samambaia… vs Capital B… 0-1
Mar 07 Samambaia… vs Brasilien… 4-2
BrasĂ­lia Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
Feb 13 BrasĂ­lia vs Gama 4-0
Feb 02 Brasília vs Brasilien… 2-1
Jan 29 Brasília vs Uberlândia 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Samambaia FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Samambaia FC Power 0
BrasĂ­lia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Samambaia FC Position

+4

Position Gap

9

BrasĂ­lia Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.