AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Brasiliense Mar 02, 2024

Paranoá

Home
VS
18:30

Real FC

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Paranoá Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Real FC Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.38 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paranoá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Real FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Paranoá Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 24 Paranoá vs Gama 2-0
Jan 14 Paranoá vs Capital B… 0-0
May 20 Paranoá vs Porto Vel… 0-0
May 14 Paranoá vs Porto Vel… 0-1
Apr 22 Paranoá vs Porto Vel… 1-0
Apr 16 Paranoá vs Porto Vel… 2-1
Apr 01 Paranoá vs Real FC 1-1
Mar 26 Paranoá vs Rondonien… 1-1
Mar 25 Paranoá vs Real FC 1-1
Mar 18 Paranoá vs Porto Vel… 1-0
Real FC Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 28 Real FC vs Uberlândia 0-0
Feb 14 Real FC vs Brasilien… 1-0
Feb 05 Real FC vs Samambaia… 3-0
Jan 28 Real FC vs Capital B… 0-3
Jan 13 Real FC vs Uberlândia 0-1
Apr 15 Real FC vs Brasilien… 1-0
Apr 08 Real FC vs Brasilien… 3-2
Apr 01 Real FC vs Paranoá 1-1
Mar 25 Real FC vs Paranoá 1-1
Mar 11 Real FC vs Paranoá 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paranoá struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Real FC struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 01, 2023 Real FC 1 - 1 Paranoá Brasiliense
Mar 25, 2023 Paranoá 1 - 1 Real FC Brasiliense
Mar 11, 2023 Paranoá 1 - 3 Real FC Brasiliense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paranoá Power 0
Real FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Paranoá Position

-3

Position Gap

7

Real FC Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.