AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Brasiliense Mar 25, 2023

Paranoá

Home
VS
18:30

Real FC

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Paranoá Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Real FC Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 3.22 - 1.11
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 1.1
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paranoá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Real FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Paranoá Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 18 Paranoá vs Porto Vel… 1-0
Mar 12 Paranoá vs União Cac… 3-0
Mar 11 Paranoá vs Real FC 1-3
Mar 05 Paranoá vs Jaguaré 0-0
Feb 17 Paranoá vs Capital B… 1-1
Feb 12 Paranoá vs Gama 1-1
Feb 03 Paranoá vs Gama 0-4
Jan 26 Paranoá vs Capital B… 2-1
May 12 Paranoá vs União Cac… 3-1
May 09 Paranoá vs Barcelona… 3-2
Real FC Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 Real FC vs Paranoá 1-3
Mar 04 Real FC vs Samambaia… 2-0
Feb 26 Real FC vs Brasilien… 1-1
Feb 11 Real FC vs Capital B… 2-1
Feb 08 Real FC vs Gama 0-1
Feb 03 Real FC vs Uberlândia 0-0
Apr 03 Real FC vs Brasilien… 3-0
Feb 26 Real FC vs Capital B… 3-0
Feb 20 Real FC vs Uberlândia 1-2
Aug 23 Real FC vs Brasilien… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real FC in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 11, 2023 Paranoá 1 - 3 Real FC Brasiliense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paranoá Power 0
Real FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Paranoá Position

-3

Position Gap

7

Real FC Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.