AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Brasiliense Mar 11, 2023

Paranoá

Home
VS
18:45

Real FC

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Paranoá Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Real FC Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.01 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.8
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paranoá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Real FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Paranoá Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 05 Paranoá vs Jaguaré 0-0
Feb 17 Paranoá vs Capital B… 1-1
Feb 12 Paranoá vs Gama 1-1
Feb 03 Paranoá vs Gama 0-4
Jan 26 Paranoá vs Capital B… 2-1
May 12 Paranoá vs União Cac… 3-1
May 09 Paranoá vs Barcelona… 3-2
May 06 Paranoá vs Jaguaré 0-1
May 02 Paranoá vs União Cac… 1-2
Apr 28 Paranoá vs Barcelona… 1-2
Real FC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 Real FC vs Samambaia… 2-0
Feb 26 Real FC vs Brasilien… 1-1
Feb 11 Real FC vs Capital B… 2-1
Feb 08 Real FC vs Gama 0-1
Feb 03 Real FC vs Uberlândia 0-0
Apr 03 Real FC vs Brasilien… 3-0
Feb 26 Real FC vs Capital B… 3-0
Feb 20 Real FC vs Uberlândia 1-2
Aug 23 Real FC vs Brasilien… 1-2
Aug 19 Real FC vs Brasilien… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paranoá Power 0
Real FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Paranoá Position

-3

Position Gap

7

Real FC Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.