AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Mar 05, 2023

Frosinone

Home
VS
14:00

Venezia

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Frosinone Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Venezia Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.30 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.8
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Frosinone Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Venezia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Frosinone Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 22 Frosinone vs Bari 1-0
Oct 14 Frosinone vs Venezia 1-3
Aug 07 Frosinone vs Monza 3-2
Jul 23 Frosinone vs Bari 1-0
Apr 25 Frosinone vs Monza 4-1
Dec 11 Frosinone vs Monza 3-2
Aug 15 Frosinone vs Venezia 1-1
Apr 02 Frosinone vs Reggiana … 0-0
Mar 02 Frosinone vs Monza 2-2
Feb 19 Frosinone vs Pescara 0-0
Venezia Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 08 Venezia vs Monza 2-2
Oct 14 Venezia vs Frosinone 1-3
Jan 22 Venezia vs Inter 2-1
Nov 27 Venezia vs Inter 0-2
Aug 15 Venezia vs Frosinone 1-1
Mar 20 Venezia vs Monza 1-4
Mar 01 Venezia vs Reggiana … 2-1
Feb 20 Venezia vs Virtus En… 3-2
Feb 06 Venezia vs Frosinone 1-2
Dec 11 Venezia vs Monza 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Frosinone in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Venezia struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 14, 2022 Venezia 1 - 3 Frosinone Serie B
Aug 15, 2021 Venezia 1 - 1 Frosinone Coppa Italia
Feb 06, 2021 Frosinone 1 - 2 Venezia Serie B
Oct 03, 2020 Venezia 0 - 2 Frosinone Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Frosinone to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Frosinone Power 45
Venezia Power 47
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Frosinone Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Venezia Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.