AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Oct 14, 2022

Venezia

Home
VS
18:30

Frosinone

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Venezia Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Frosinone Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 3.10 - 2.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 2.2
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Venezia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Frosinone Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 3-3 (4%) 2-3 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Under 2.5 Goals 22%
Venezia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 22 Venezia vs Inter 2-1
Nov 27 Venezia vs Inter 0-2
Aug 15 Venezia vs Frosinone 1-1
Mar 20 Venezia vs Monza 1-4
Mar 01 Venezia vs Reggiana … 2-1
Feb 20 Venezia vs Virtus En… 3-2
Feb 06 Venezia vs Frosinone 1-2
Dec 11 Venezia vs Monza 0-2
Nov 14 Venezia vs Virtus En… 0-2
Nov 08 Venezia vs Reggiana … 2-1
Frosinone Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 07 Frosinone vs Monza 3-2
Jul 23 Frosinone vs Bari 1-0
Apr 25 Frosinone vs Monza 4-1
Dec 11 Frosinone vs Monza 3-2
Aug 15 Frosinone vs Venezia 1-1
Apr 02 Frosinone vs Reggiana … 0-0
Mar 02 Frosinone vs Monza 2-2
Feb 19 Frosinone vs Pescara 0-0
Feb 14 Frosinone vs Virtus En… 2-3
Feb 06 Frosinone vs Venezia 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 15, 2021 Venezia 1 - 1 Frosinone Coppa Italia
Feb 06, 2021 Frosinone 1 - 2 Venezia Serie B
Oct 03, 2020 Venezia 0 - 2 Frosinone Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Venezia to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Venezia Power 47
Frosinone Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Venezia Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Frosinone Position
Home Win Rate: 91%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.