AI Match Insights

Match Details Home

Serie B Oct 03, 2020

Venezia

Home

14:15

Frosinone

Away

AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence

Venezia Win

65.0%

Draw

21.0%

Frosinone Win

14.0%

Home Win (65% confidence)

Predicted Score: 1-0

Decision Justification

Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)

HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)

Player Score 40%

Momentum 79%

Standings 64%

Market 50%

Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 34%

xG: 1.54 - 0.62

Key Insights

xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.6

High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized

Score Prediction Analysis

Venezia Goal Probabilities

0 goals:

21%

1 goals:

33%

2 goals:

25%

3 goals:

13%

4 goals:

Frosinone Goal Probabilities

0 goals:

54%

1 goals:

33%

2 goals:

10%

3 goals:

4 goals:

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0 (18%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%)

BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%

Over 2.5 Goals 36%

Under 2.5 Goals 64%

Venezia Form 20.0%

Date	Match	Result
Sep 30	Venezia vs Carrarese	2-0

Frosinone Form 8.0%

Date	Match	Result
Sep 26	Frosinone vs Empoli	0-2
Aug 20	Frosinone vs Spezia	0-1
Aug 16	Frosinone vs Spezia	0-1
Jul 17	Frosinone vs Pescara	1-1
Jul 13	Frosinone vs Juve Stab…	2-2
Jul 10	Frosinone vs Empoli	2-0
Jul 03	Frosinone vs Spezia	2-1

Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Venezia to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier

Predicted: 1-0 51% Confidence

Rules Passed

HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE

Key Factors

No key factors identified

Venezia Power 47

Frosinone Power 45

Home Form N/A

Away Form N/A

League Standings Context

1

Venezia Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Frosinone Position

Home Win Rate: 91%

Away Win Rate: 50%

Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.