AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Mar 16, 2025

Sudtirol

Home
VS
14:00

Carrarese

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Sudtirol Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Carrarese Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.02 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.5
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sudtirol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Carrarese Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Sudtirol Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Sudtirol vs Cittadella 1-5
Feb 28 Sudtirol vs Spezia 1-1
Feb 23 Sudtirol vs Brescia 0-0
Feb 15 Sudtirol vs Sampdoria 2-1
Feb 09 Sudtirol vs Cremonese 3-1
Feb 02 Sudtirol vs Reggiana … 2-0
Jan 25 Sudtirol vs Frosinone 0-3
Jan 19 Sudtirol vs Sassuolo 5-3
Jan 12 Sudtirol vs Catanzaro 1-1
Dec 29 Sudtirol vs Monza 0-0
Carrarese Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 08 Carrarese vs Frosinone 0-1
Mar 01 Carrarese vs Cremonese 2-2
Feb 22 Carrarese vs Reggiana … 2-2
Feb 15 Carrarese vs Salernita… 3-2
Feb 08 Carrarese vs Cosenza 1-0
Feb 02 Carrarese vs Brescia 1-2
Jan 25 Carrarese vs Juve Stab… 2-1
Jan 19 Carrarese vs Spezia 0-4
Jan 13 Carrarese vs Pisa 2-1
Dec 29 Carrarese vs Cosenza 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 27, 2024 Carrarese 2 - 0 Sudtirol Pro League
Aug 27, 2024 Carrarese 2 - 0 Sudtirol Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sudtirol Power 35
Carrarese Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Sudtirol Position

-1

Position Gap

9

Carrarese Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.