AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Mar 02, 2025

Catanzaro

Home
VS
14:00

Reggiana 1919

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Catanzaro Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Reggiana 1919 Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 69%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.42 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.5 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Catanzaro Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Reggiana 1919 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Catanzaro Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 23 Catanzaro vs Spezia 0-1
Feb 14 Catanzaro vs Cittadella 1-0
Feb 08 Catanzaro vs Frosinone 1-1
Feb 01 Catanzaro vs Cosenza 4-2
Jan 26 Catanzaro vs Brescia 2-3
Jan 19 Catanzaro vs Pisa 0-0
Jan 12 Catanzaro vs Sudtirol 1-1
Dec 29 Catanzaro vs Salernita… 1-0
Dec 26 Catanzaro vs Cosenza 1-1
Dec 21 Catanzaro vs Spezia 0-1
Reggiana 1919 Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 22 Reggiana … vs Carrarese 2-2
Feb 16 Reggiana … vs Frosinone 1-1
Feb 09 Reggiana … vs Cosenza 0-1
Feb 02 Reggiana … vs Sudtirol 2-0
Jan 26 Reggiana … vs Palermo 2-1
Jan 18 Reggiana … vs Salernita… 2-1
Jan 12 Reggiana … vs Bari 0-0
Dec 29 Reggiana … vs Mantova 0-2
Dec 29 Reggiana … vs Mantova 0-2
Dec 26 Reggiana … vs Juve Stab… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Catanzaro in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 10, 2024 Reggiana 1919 2 - 2 Catanzaro Serie B
Nov 10, 2024 Reggiana 1919 2 - 2 Catanzaro Pro League
Mar 09, 2024 Catanzaro 0 - 1 Reggiana 1919 Serie B
Mar 09, 2024 Catanzaro 0 - 1 Reggiana 1919 Pro League
Dec 26, 2023 Reggiana 1919 1 - 0 Catanzaro Serie B
Dec 26, 2023 Reggiana 1919 1 - 0 Catanzaro Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Catanzaro to win (53% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 53% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Catanzaro Power 36
Reggiana 1919 Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Catanzaro Position

+7

Position Gap

15

Reggiana 1919 Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.