AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Mar 09, 2024

Catanzaro

Home
VS
15:15

Reggiana 1919

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Catanzaro Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Reggiana 1919 Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 69%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.42 - 0.82
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.8 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Catanzaro Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Reggiana 1919 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Catanzaro Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 Catanzaro vs Cosenza 0-2
Feb 27 Catanzaro vs Bari 2-0
Feb 27 Catanzaro vs Bari 2-0
Feb 24 Catanzaro vs Cittadella 1-2
Feb 17 Catanzaro vs Sudtirol 2-2
Feb 17 Catanzaro vs Sudtirol 2-2
Feb 10 Catanzaro vs Ascoli 3-2
Feb 03 Catanzaro vs Spezia 1-1
Jan 26 Catanzaro vs Palermo 1-1
Jan 20 Catanzaro vs FeralpiSa… 3-0
Reggiana 1919 Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 Reggiana … vs Ascoli 0-0
Feb 27 Reggiana … vs Sudtirol 1-1
Feb 24 Reggiana … vs Brescia 0-0
Feb 17 Reggiana … vs Ternana 0-2
Feb 10 Reggiana … vs Cremonese 1-1
Feb 03 Reggiana … vs FeralpiSa… 1-1
Jan 27 Reggiana … vs Bari 0-2
Jan 20 Reggiana … vs Como 2-2
Jan 13 Reggiana … vs Pisa 2-2
Dec 26 Reggiana … vs Catanzaro 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Catanzaro in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 26, 2023 Reggiana 1919 1 - 0 Catanzaro Serie B
Dec 26, 2023 Reggiana 1919 1 - 0 Catanzaro Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Catanzaro to win (53% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 53% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Catanzaro Power 36
Reggiana 1919 Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Catanzaro Position

+7

Position Gap

15

Reggiana 1919 Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.