AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Aug 12, 2023

Eastleigh

Home
VS
14:00

Wealdstone

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Eastleigh Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Wealdstone Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 4.50 - 1.16
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.2
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Eastleigh Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Wealdstone Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Eastleigh Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 29 Eastleigh vs FC Halifa… 1-1
Apr 12 Eastleigh vs Gateshead 2-5
Apr 10 Eastleigh vs Aldershot… 3-3
Mar 07 Eastleigh vs Yeovil To… 1-0
Feb 04 Eastleigh vs Woking 1-0
Jan 28 Eastleigh vs Southend 1-3
Jan 14 Eastleigh vs Braintree 1-0
Jan 07 Eastleigh vs Wealdstone 3-1
Dec 20 Eastleigh vs Woking 0-2
Oct 29 Eastleigh vs Woking 1-0
Wealdstone Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 25 Wealdstone vs Solihull … 3-0
Apr 18 Wealdstone vs Aldershot… 0-1
Apr 15 Wealdstone vs Boreham W… 1-0
Feb 28 Wealdstone vs FC Halifa… 5-0
Feb 25 Wealdstone vs Woking 1-1
Feb 04 Wealdstone vs Dagenham … 1-0
Jan 28 Wealdstone vs Gateshead 1-2
Jan 07 Wealdstone vs Eastleigh 3-1
Oct 29 Wealdstone vs Dagenham … 4-1
Oct 15 Wealdstone vs Boreham W… 5-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Wealdstone struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 07, 2023 Wealdstone 3 - 1 Eastleigh National League
Aug 13, 2022 Eastleigh 1 - 0 Wealdstone National League
Mar 05, 2022 Eastleigh 4 - 1 Wealdstone National League
Oct 09, 2021 Wealdstone 1 - 2 Eastleigh National League
Feb 23, 2021 Wealdstone 0 - 0 Eastleigh National League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Eastleigh Power 30
Wealdstone Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Eastleigh Position

-4

Position Gap

12

Wealdstone Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 21%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.