AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Jan 28, 2023

Rochdale

Home
VS
15:00

Carlisle

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Rochdale Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Carlisle Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 2.05 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.6
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rochdale Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Carlisle Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Rochdale Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 Rochdale vs Hartlepool 2-0
Dec 26 Rochdale vs Hartlepool 1-2
Sep 03 Rochdale vs Carlisle 3-3
Apr 18 Rochdale vs Hartlepool 2-1
Mar 29 Rochdale vs Carlisle 2-0
Mar 01 Rochdale vs Carlisle 2-0
Dec 08 Rochdale vs Hartlepool 2-1
Sep 08 Rochdale vs Morecambe 1-2
Carlisle Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 03 Carlisle vs Rochdale 3-3
Jul 23 Carlisle vs Morecambe 0-0
Mar 29 Carlisle vs Rochdale 2-0
Mar 01 Carlisle vs Rochdale 2-0
Nov 09 Carlisle vs Morecambe 0-2
Jul 24 Carlisle vs Blackpool 0-1
Mar 06 Carlisle vs Morecambe 3-1
Oct 27 Carlisle vs Morecambe 3-1
Aug 18 Carlisle vs Gateshead 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 03, 2022 Carlisle 3 - 3 Rochdale League Two
Mar 29, 2022 Rochdale 2 - 0 Carlisle League Two
Mar 01, 2022 Carlisle 2 - 0 Rochdale League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Rochdale to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rochdale Power 49
Carlisle Power 42
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.