AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Sep 03, 2022

Carlisle

Home
VS
14:00

Rochdale

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Carlisle Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Rochdale Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.85 - 0.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.5
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Carlisle Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Rochdale Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Carlisle Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 23 Carlisle vs Morecambe 0-0
Mar 29 Carlisle vs Rochdale 2-0
Mar 01 Carlisle vs Rochdale 2-0
Nov 09 Carlisle vs Morecambe 0-2
Jul 24 Carlisle vs Blackpool 0-1
Mar 06 Carlisle vs Morecambe 3-1
Oct 27 Carlisle vs Morecambe 3-1
Aug 18 Carlisle vs Gateshead 1-1
Rochdale Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 18 Rochdale vs Hartlepool 2-1
Mar 29 Rochdale vs Carlisle 2-0
Mar 01 Rochdale vs Carlisle 2-0
Dec 08 Rochdale vs Hartlepool 2-1
Sep 08 Rochdale vs Morecambe 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rochdale in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 29, 2022 Rochdale 2 - 0 Carlisle League Two
Mar 01, 2022 Carlisle 2 - 0 Rochdale League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Carlisle to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Carlisle Power 42
Rochdale Power 49
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.