AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Mar 01, 2022

Carlisle

Home
VS
19:45

Rochdale

Away
AI Predictions 44.0% Confidence
Carlisle Win
44.0%
Draw
25.2%
Rochdale Win
30.8%
Home Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.72 - 1.04
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 1.0
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Carlisle Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Rochdale Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (7%) 0-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Carlisle Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Carlisle vs Morecambe 0-2
Jul 24 Carlisle vs Blackpool 0-1
Mar 06 Carlisle vs Morecambe 3-1
Oct 27 Carlisle vs Morecambe 3-1
Aug 18 Carlisle vs Gateshead 1-1
Rochdale Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 08 Rochdale vs Hartlepool 2-1
Sep 08 Rochdale vs Morecambe 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Carlisle to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Carlisle Power 42
Rochdale Power 49
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.