AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Feb 11, 2025

Hartlepool

Home
VS
19:45

Tamworth

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Hartlepool Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Tamworth Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.45 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hartlepool Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Tamworth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (19%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
Hartlepool Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Hartlepool vs Braintree 1-1
Jan 25 Hartlepool vs Woking 1-1
Jan 18 Hartlepool vs Wealdstone 1-1
Dec 26 Hartlepool vs Gateshead 4-3
Dec 21 Hartlepool vs Yeovil To… 2-1
Dec 10 Hartlepool vs Tamworth 1-1
Nov 16 Hartlepool vs Eastleigh 0-0
Oct 26 Hartlepool vs Aldershot… 2-0
Oct 23 Hartlepool vs Altrincham 1-1
Oct 15 Hartlepool vs Crawley T… 3-1
Tamworth Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 08 Tamworth vs FC Halifa… 1-2
Feb 04 Tamworth vs Wealdstone 0-1
Jan 07 Tamworth vs Southampt… 1-0
Dec 31 Tamworth vs Solihull … 2-0
Dec 26 Tamworth vs Forest Gr… 1-1
Dec 21 Tamworth vs Southampt… 1-2
Dec 17 Tamworth vs Rochdale 3-0
Dec 10 Tamworth vs Hartlepool 1-1
Oct 26 Tamworth vs Southend 2-0
Oct 22 Tamworth vs Yeovil To… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tamworth struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 10, 2024 Hartlepool 1 - 1 Tamworth FA Trophy
Aug 20, 2024 Tamworth 0 - 1 Hartlepool National League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hartlepool Power 36
Tamworth Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Hartlepool Position

+4

Position Gap

13

Tamworth Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.