AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA Trophy Dec 10, 2024

Hartlepool

Home
VS
19:45

Tamworth

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Hartlepool Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Tamworth Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.56 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.6
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hartlepool Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Tamworth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Hartlepool Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 16 Hartlepool vs Eastleigh 0-0
Oct 26 Hartlepool vs Aldershot… 2-0
Oct 23 Hartlepool vs Altrincham 1-1
Oct 15 Hartlepool vs Crawley T… 3-1
Oct 12 Hartlepool vs Crawley T… 1-1
Sep 24 Hartlepool vs Rochdale 0-3
Aug 31 Hartlepool vs Braintree 0-0
Aug 26 Hartlepool vs Woking 3-2
Aug 24 Hartlepool vs Wealdstone 1-1
Aug 20 Hartlepool vs Tamworth 0-1
Tamworth Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 Tamworth vs Southend 2-0
Oct 22 Tamworth vs Yeovil To… 0-0
Oct 08 Tamworth vs Gateshead 2-1
Oct 05 Tamworth vs FC Halifa… 3-2
Aug 20 Tamworth vs Hartlepool 0-1
Aug 10 Tamworth vs Southampt… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tamworth struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 20, 2024 Tamworth 0 - 1 Hartlepool National League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Hartlepool to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hartlepool Power 36
Tamworth Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.