AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Apr 22, 2023

Scunthorpe

Home
VS
14:00

Southend

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Scunthorpe Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Southend Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.35 - 1.31
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Scunthorpe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Southend Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (9%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 1-2 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Scunthorpe Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 07 Scunthorpe vs Gateshead 2-0
Mar 14 Scunthorpe vs Solihull … 3-1
Mar 07 Scunthorpe vs Altrincham 2-0
Feb 25 Scunthorpe vs Boreham W… 2-0
Jan 14 Scunthorpe vs Woking 0-2
Oct 25 Scunthorpe vs Gateshead 3-1
Oct 22 Scunthorpe vs Southend 3-0
Sep 13 Scunthorpe vs Altrincham 2-2
Sep 03 Scunthorpe vs Boreham W… 0-2
Aug 20 Scunthorpe vs Solihull … 3-4
Southend Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 01 Southend vs Yeovil To… 0-2
Mar 25 Southend vs Altrincham 1-0
Feb 18 Southend vs Gateshead 1-0
Feb 11 Southend vs York 0-2
Feb 04 Southend vs York 2-0
Jan 28 Southend vs Eastleigh 1-3
Dec 03 Southend vs Altrincham 2-2
Nov 19 Southend vs Gateshead 3-1
Oct 29 Southend vs York 0-2
Oct 22 Southend vs Scunthorpe 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Southend in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Scunthorpe struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 22, 2022 Southend 3 - 0 Scunthorpe National League
Mar 20, 2021 Scunthorpe 1 - 1 Southend League Two
Dec 12, 2020 Southend 1 - 0 Scunthorpe League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Scunthorpe Power 44
Southend Power 42
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Scunthorpe Position

+3

Position Gap

8

Southend Position
Home Win Rate: 69%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.