AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Oct 22, 2022

Southend

Home
VS
14:00

Scunthorpe

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Southend Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Scunthorpe Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.28 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.2
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Southend Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Scunthorpe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (17%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Under 2.5 Goals 58%
Southend Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 01 Southend vs Yeovil To… 1-0
Aug 27 Southend vs Eastleigh 2-1
Mar 26 Southend vs Yeovil To… 2-0
Mar 19 Southend vs Altrincham 2-0
Feb 22 Southend vs Eastleigh 1-1
Jan 11 Southend vs Yeovil To… 2-1
Nov 27 Southend vs Altrincham 1-2
Oct 05 Southend vs Eastleigh 1-0
Mar 20 Southend vs Scunthorpe 1-1
Feb 24 Southend vs Forest Gr… 1-3
Scunthorpe Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Scunthorpe vs Altrincham 2-2
Sep 03 Scunthorpe vs Boreham W… 0-2
Aug 20 Scunthorpe vs Solihull … 3-4
Aug 16 Scunthorpe vs Woking 2-0
Apr 30 Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool 1-1
Apr 02 Scunthorpe vs Forest Gr… 1-0
Feb 26 Scunthorpe vs Southampt… 4-1
Dec 11 Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool 0-0
Oct 16 Scunthorpe vs Forest Gr… 0-2
Aug 21 Scunthorpe vs Southampt… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Scunthorpe struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 20, 2021 Scunthorpe 1 - 1 Southend League Two
Dec 12, 2020 Southend 1 - 0 Scunthorpe League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Southend Power 42
Scunthorpe Power 44
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Southend Position

-3

Position Gap

5

Scunthorpe Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 47%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.