AI Match Insights

National League Nov 25, 2023

Aldershot Town

Home
VS
15:00

FC Halifax Town

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Aldershot Town Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
FC Halifax Town Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.97 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.4
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aldershot Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
FC Halifax Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Aldershot Town Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 18 Aldershot… vs Rochdale 2-1
Oct 21 Aldershot… vs Hartlepool 2-1
Oct 07 Aldershot… vs Solihull … 0-1
Oct 03 Aldershot… vs Altrincham 2-1
Aug 28 Aldershot… vs Eastleigh 3-0
Aug 26 Aldershot… vs Wealdstone 3-1
Aug 19 Aldershot… vs York 1-1
Jul 29 Aldershot… vs Southampt… 0-1
Apr 29 Aldershot… vs Altrincham 1-1
Apr 22 Aldershot… vs York 2-2
FC Halifax Town Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 18 FC Halifa… vs Wealdstone 1-0
Oct 21 FC Halifa… vs Kiddermin… 2-1
Sep 30 FC Halifa… vs Eastleigh 2-3
Aug 28 FC Halifa… vs Gateshead 0-0
Aug 25 FC Halifa… vs Solihull … 1-1
Aug 12 FC Halifa… vs Boreham W… 2-0
May 21 FC Halifa… vs Gateshead 1-0
Apr 29 FC Halifa… vs Eastleigh 1-1
Apr 01 FC Halifa… vs Altrincham 1-1
Mar 28 FC Halifa… vs Aldershot… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aldershot Town struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 28, 2023 FC Halifax Town 2 - 0 Aldershot Town National League
Mar 11, 2023 Aldershot Town 0 - 2 FC Halifax Town FA Trophy
Sep 17, 2022 Aldershot Town 5 - 1 FC Halifax Town National League
May 07, 2022 FC Halifax Town 1 - 1 Aldershot Town National League
Sep 25, 2021 Aldershot Town 0 - 1 FC Halifax Town National League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aldershot Town Power 33
FC Halifax Town Power 38
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Aldershot Town Position

-11

Position Gap

7

FC Halifax Town Position

Home Win Rate: 31%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.