AI Match Insights

National League Mar 28, 2023

FC Halifax Town

Home
VS
18:45

Aldershot Town

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
FC Halifax Town Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Aldershot Town Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.85 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.6 Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Halifax Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Aldershot Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
FC Halifax Town Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 FC Halifa… vs Aldershot… 0-2
Mar 07 FC Halifa… vs Gateshead 0-0
Feb 28 FC Halifa… vs Wealdstone 5-0
Feb 21 FC Halifa… vs Solihull … 1-1
Feb 18 FC Halifa… vs Boreham W… 1-1
Jan 01 FC Halifa… vs Altrincham 2-2
Dec 26 FC Halifa… vs Altrincham 2-1
Nov 19 FC Halifa… vs Boreham W… 1-0
Nov 08 FC Halifa… vs Solihull … 0-1
Sep 24 FC Halifa… vs Eastleigh 1-0
Aldershot Town Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 Aldershot… vs FC Halifa… 0-2
Jan 17 Aldershot… vs Solihull … 1-2
Jan 01 Aldershot… vs Woking 4-1
Dec 26 Aldershot… vs Woking 1-2
Oct 25 Aldershot… vs Yeovil To… 0-2
Oct 22 Aldershot… vs York 2-1
Oct 04 Aldershot… vs Eastleigh 0-0
Oct 01 Aldershot… vs Wealdstone 1-2
Sep 24 Aldershot… vs Altrincham 1-0
Sep 17 Aldershot… vs FC Halifa… 5-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aldershot Town struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 11, 2023 Aldershot Town 0 - 2 FC Halifax Town FA Trophy
Sep 17, 2022 Aldershot Town 5 - 1 FC Halifax Town National League
May 07, 2022 FC Halifax Town 1 - 1 Aldershot Town National League
Sep 25, 2021 Aldershot Town 0 - 1 FC Halifax Town National League
Final Verdict

PRO: FC Halifax Town to win (73% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 73% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Halifax Town Power 38
Aldershot Town Power 33
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

FC Halifax Town Position

+11

Position Gap

18

Aldershot Town Position

Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.