AI Match Insights
National League Apr 05, 2025
Altrincham
HomeVS
14:00
Yeovil Town
AwayAI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Altrincham Win
Draw
Yeovil Town Win
Home Win
(41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
62%
Market
50%
Combined: 49%
Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.41 - 0.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Altrincham Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Yeovil Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%)
0-0 (14%)
2-0 (14%)
1-1 (11%)
0-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
Altrincham Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15 | Altrincham vs Aldershot… | 1-2 |
| Mar 11 | Altrincham vs Rochdale | 3-0 |
| Mar 08 | Altrincham vs Southend | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Altrincham vs York | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Altrincham vs Rochdale | 2-0 |
| Feb 18 | Altrincham vs Hartlepool | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Altrincham vs Forest Gr… | 1-1 |
| Dec 26 | Altrincham vs FC Halifa… | 0-0 |
| Nov 26 | Altrincham vs York | 3-0 |
| Nov 23 | Altrincham vs Aldershot… | 2-1 |
Yeovil Town Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11 | Yeovil To… vs Bolton | 0-3 |
| Mar 01 | Yeovil To… vs Southend | 2-2 |
| Feb 18 | Yeovil To… vs Tamworth | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Yeovil To… vs Wealdstone | 1-2 |
| Jan 11 | Yeovil To… vs Woking | 1-1 |
| Jan 01 | Yeovil To… vs Forest Gr… | 2-1 |
| Dec 26 | Yeovil To… vs Eastleigh | 2-2 |
| Dec 21 | Yeovil To… vs Hartlepool | 2-1 |
| Dec 14 | Yeovil To… vs Braintree | 3-1 |
| Nov 30 | Yeovil To… vs Woking | 0-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Altrincham struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2024 | Yeovil Town | 0 - 0 | Altrincham | National League |
| Feb 28, 2023 | Yeovil Town | 1 - 1 | Altrincham | National League |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Altrincham | 2 - 2 | Yeovil Town | National League |
| May 15, 2022 | Altrincham | 0 - 1 | Yeovil Town | National League |
| Oct 12, 2021 | Yeovil Town | 1 - 1 | Altrincham | National League |
| May 22, 2021 | Altrincham | 4 - 3 | Yeovil Town | National League |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Yeovil Town | 2 - 0 | Altrincham | National League |
Final Verdict
PRO: Altrincham to win (70% confidence)
PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0
70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Altrincham Power
31
Yeovil Town Power
32
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
14
Altrincham Position+5
Position Gap19
Yeovil Town Position
Home Win Rate: 47%
Away Win Rate: 31%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.