AI Match Insights
Challenge League Dec 21, 2024
Mgarr United
HomeVS
13:00
Fgura United
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Mgarr United Win
Draw
Fgura United Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
Combined: 36%
Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 0.93 - 2.31
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mgarr United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Fgura United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (10%)
1-2 (10%)
0-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
0-3 (8%)
1-3 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
Mgarr United Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23 | Mgarr Uniā¦ vs PietĆ Hotā¦ | 4-0 |
| Nov 03 | Mgarr Uniā¦ vs Swieqi Unā¦ | 0-0 |
| Oct 27 | Mgarr Uniā¦ vs Marsa | 2-2 |
| Oct 19 | Mgarr Uniā¦ vs Marsa | 0-2 |
| Mar 04 | Mgarr Uniā¦ vs Swieqi Unā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Mgarr Uniā¦ vs Fgura Uniā¦ | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | Mgarr Uniā¦ vs PietĆ Hotā¦ | 0-2 |
| Feb 06 | Mgarr Uniā¦ vs Marsa | 1-0 |
| Nov 27 | Mgarr Uniā¦ vs Swieqi Unā¦ | 1-2 |
| Nov 23 | Mgarr Uniā¦ vs PietĆ Hotā¦ | 3-0 |
Fgura United Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 24 | Fgura Uniā¦ vs Gudja Uniā¦ | 1-2 |
| Oct 26 | Fgura Uniā¦ vs PietĆ Hotā¦ | 1-2 |
| Sep 22 | Fgura Uniā¦ vs Marsa | 1-2 |
| Oct 28 | Fgura Uniā¦ vs Zurrieq | 1-4 |
| Sep 30 | Fgura Uniā¦ vs PietĆ Hotā¦ | 0-4 |
| Feb 12 | Fgura Uniā¦ vs Marsa | 1-1 |
| Nov 01 | Fgura Uniā¦ vs Marsa | 0-2 |
| Oct 09 | Fgura Uniā¦ vs Zurrieq | 1-4 |
| Mar 11 | Fgura Uniā¦ vs PietĆ Hotā¦ | 1-3 |
| Feb 20 | Fgura Uniā¦ vs Mgarr Uniā¦ | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Fgura United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2022 | Fgura United | 2 - 0 | Mgarr United | Challenge Leagā¦ |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Mgarr United | 1 - 0 | Fgura United | Challenge Leagā¦ |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Mgarr United Power
0
Fgura United Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
7
Mgarr United Position-1
Position Gap6
Fgura United Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 83%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.